Evidence reviewExercise & movementEvidence Tier I

How Does Grip Strength Predict Longevity and What Does It Measure?

Grip strength is one of the strongest predictors of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease, and functional decline in older adults — each 5 kg decrease in grip strength is associated with a 16% higher all-cause mortality risk.

Dr. James Whitfield, PhD, Exercise Physiology
May 21, 2026
2 min read

The short answer

Grip strength is a simple, inexpensive measure of overall muscle strength and is one of the strongest predictors of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease, and functional decline. The PURE study found that each 5 kg decrease in grip strength was associated with a 16% higher all-cause mortality risk and a 17% higher cardiovascular mortality risk — stronger associations than blood pressure for predicting cardiovascular mortality.

What the evidence actually shows

The PURE (Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology) study (Leong et al., 2015, The Lancet) followed 139,691 adults across 17 countries and found that grip strength was a stronger predictor of cardiovascular mortality than systolic blood pressure. Each 5 kg decrease in grip strength was associated with a 16% higher all-cause mortality risk, a 17% higher cardiovascular mortality risk, and a 9% higher risk of stroke. Rantanen et al. (1999) in JAMA found that grip strength measured at midlife was predictive of disability and mortality 25 years later. Grip strength is a proxy for overall muscle mass and quality, physical activity level, and general health status.

"Each 5 kg decrease in grip strength was associated with a 16% higher all-cause mortality risk — a stronger predictor than blood pressure for cardiovascular mortality."

Leong et al., The Lancet 2015 (PURE)

What the major health authorities say

The NIA identifies grip strength as a key measure of physical function in older adults and notes that low grip strength is a component of the frailty phenotype. The NIA recommends resistance training as the primary intervention for improving grip strength and overall muscle function. The European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP) uses grip strength as a primary diagnostic criterion for sarcopenia.

Practical implications

Grip strength can be measured with a hand dynamometer (available in most physiotherapy and sports medicine settings). Normal values are approximately 35–45 kg for men and 20–30 kg for women aged 40–60, with expected decline of approximately 1–2 kg per decade. Low grip strength (below 27 kg for men, 16 kg for women) is a clinical indicator of sarcopenia risk. The most effective interventions for improving grip strength are resistance training (particularly exercises involving the hands and forearms) and ensuring adequate protein intake.

Vitaei verdict

Grip strength is a powerful, simple longevity biomarker. Low grip strength is a clinically meaningful indicator of sarcopenia and elevated mortality risk that warrants intervention.

Where reasonable people still disagree

  • Whether grip strength is causally related to mortality or is a marker of overall health status — whether improving grip strength through resistance training directly reduces mortality risk.
  • The optimal grip strength targets for different age groups and sexes, given the wide variation in published normative data.
  • Whether grip strength or gait speed is the more useful single measure of physical function for predicting longevity outcomes.